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Exhibition Status Update!

With 3 weeks until SHOWTIME, the 20th Anniversary edition welcomes an All-Star cast of new and returning exhibitors, making up the largest DOMOTEX asia/CHINAFLOOR to date. Due to high demand in all product...

Global designers to exhibit at Luxury Br…

Designers from Europe, Middle East and North America will exhibit at the upcoming Luxury Brands Carpet Show. The second edition of the curated Luxury Brands exhibition and designer carpet collection is scheduled to...

H&M to dress Swedish teams for Olymp…

Hennes and Mauritz Group (H&M) will dress the Swedish teams for the Winter Olympics and Paralympics in PyeongChang 2018. The company will create outfits for the opening and closing ceremonies. The collection will...

Saurer to show Allma TechnoCorder TC2 at…

Saurer Technologies GmbH & Co. KG Twisting Solutions, a leading provider of energy efficient solutions for tire cord, carpet, staple, glass filament, and industrial yarns, will present its Allma TechnoCorder TC2 innovative machine...

Cone Denim and Unifi launch S Gene with …

Cone Denim and Unifi have launched the latest in advanced stretch technology - S Gene with Repreve . Combining the advanced stretch technology of S Gene with the superior sustainability and performance of...

Shima Seiki to partake in Premiere Visio…

Leading computerised knitting machine developer, Shima Seiki Mfg., Ltd., is set to participate at the Premiere Vision show, a global event for fashion professionals, to be held in Paris, from February 13 to 15, 2018...

Measurably more productive and econom- i…

Even if the winding machine is only responsible for about 10-15% of the energy consumption (compressed air and electrical energy) when considering the classic ring spinning process, these criteria play an important role...

Wool to dominate at Intertextile Shangha…

Some 3,300 exhibitors from around 20 countries covering all apparel fabrics and accessories product groups are expected at the Spring Edition of the industry’s most comprehensive sourcing platform for the spring/summer season, Intertextile...

‘Chinese policy to determine world cotton prices’ - ICAC

‘Chinese policy to determine world cotton prices’ - ICAC

(United States Of America)

The Cotlook A Index rose to 96.65 cents per pound around mid-June 2013 before receding to the low 90s cents level towards the end of the month.

On June 12th, the USDA increased 2012/13 U.S. export estimate to 3 million tons due to continued strong sales to China, and lowered the estimate of 2013/14 U.S. production to 2.9 million tons due to drought in the southwest. The Cotlook A Index rose 2.90 cents per pound the following day.

A week later, the Federal Reserve’s signal that it could start scaling back its huge economic stimulus program later this year triggered only a modest drop of 1.75 cents per pound in the Cotlook A Index.

China’s national cotton reserve is estimated at close to 9 million tons as of the end of June, and the reserve may be down to 8 million tons by the end of July. Purchases into the reserve will resume in September as the 2013/14 harvest begins.

In May the International Monetary Fund lowered its forecast for China’s growth to 7.75% this year. The new administration in China has initiated a series of reforms designed to open up the economy to private investment and speed up urbanization which will likely accelerate the reduction of cotton area.

In June, the People’s Bank of China stated that the government was willing to tighten monetary policy to achieve more stable economic growth. The new policy already had an immediate impact on spinners who are reducing purchases from the reserve, which requires payment upon delivery, and expanding imports with 90-day letters of credit.

All in all, China’s cotton policy remains the main driver of world cotton prices. With the recent acknowledgement of the market distortion created by its national cotton reserve programs, Chinese policymakers are already planning to experiment with a direct subsidy in Xinjiang. At the provincial level, in an effort to stop the rapid decline of cotton planting in Hebei, cotton farmers were paid a direct subsidy in April this year.

Since 2010/11 world cotton production has exceeded world cotton consumption. While the 2012/13 global ending stocks are expected to be approximately split evenly between China and the rest of the world, China is projected to hold close to 60% of the global stocks by the end of 2013/14.


International Cotton Advisory Committee

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